Mohamed AlgarjRECOVERED ARCHIVE · FACEBOOK · 2024—2026
Public posts,
a permanent record.
64 Facebook analyses have been recovered, source-checked, edited and translated. Each edition links to the original post, separates the author’s argument from what the supporting record establishes, and marks dates conservatively when Facebook did not expose an exact timestamp.
RECOVERED EDITIONS
Argument preserved.
Evidence made visible.
Mellitah’s Gas Interruption Exposes Domestic Supply Fragility
A report and analysis of a Mellitah gas-supply interruption affecting domestic consumers, especially electricity generation, against Libya’s limited replacement capacity.
Read archive edition ↗Libya’s 2026 Foreign-Exchange Demand Is Outrunning Public Disclosure
The analysis finds the CBL had sold $15.7 billion through July 21 and had approved roughly $3.5 billion more. He argues that the scale cannot be assessed responsibly without a consolidated view of public spending, oil revenue, reserve flows and the dollar balance.
Read archive edition ↗Petro Air, Harmony Jets and the Al-Haddad Crash: Documents, Flights and Unanswered Questions
This investigation traces alleged governance and commercial links involving Petro Air and Harmony Jets before examining the December 2025 crash that killed Libya's military chief and seven others. The strongest verifiable strand is the UN Panel of Experts' reporting; causation or operational responsibility for the crash requires the competent safety investigation and primary contracts.
Read archive edition ↗$581.5 Million in Medicine FX Approvals: Where Is the Oversight?
Starting from a Central Bank of Libya appendix showing $581.49 million associated with medicine-related foreign-currency use in 2025, The investigation contrasts the total with shortages and high retail costs. He calls for health-sector involvement in approvals and stronger auditing, while also making a broad fraud allegation that needs transaction-level proof.
Read archive edition ↗Oil-Sector Debt: Allocation Is Not Expenditure
A reconciliation of Libya’s reported oil-sector debt and funding, stressing the difference between approved budgets, released cash and actual spending.
Read archive edition ↗Libyan Diplomacy’s Accountability Ledger, 2021–2025
This investigation assembles prosecution statements, audit findings, reported leaks, and foreign-asset cases involving Libyan missions and officials between 2021 and 2025. This investigation argues that the pattern reflects systemic governance failure in the foreign service, but several totals combine different currencies, statuses, and evidentiary levels.
Read archive edition ↗LYD 81.6 Million, Seven Years, Two Unchanging Decision-Support Figures
This investigation traces Nouri al-Abbar and Mohamed al-Darrat across decision-support roles as governments and presidential arrangements changed, and aggregates LYD 81.6 million in spending over seven years. It asks what publicly accessible policies, studies, or decisions resulted from that institutional continuity.
Read archive edition ↗Fifteen Roles, One Official: Mapping Concentrated Executive Authority in Libya
This investigation compiles 15 offices, portfolios, and committee memberships associated with Transport Minister and prime-ministerial financial adviser Mohammed al-Shahoubi. The strongest version would publish an appointment-by-appointment timeline and distinguish concurrent executive power from historical or ex officio roles.
Read archive edition ↗From 53rd to 115th: What Libya's Human-Development Slide Really Measures
This investigation uses Libya's fall in the Human Development Index ranking to question whether public spending has improved health, education, and living standards. A rigorous version should compare HDI values and component indicators—not ranks alone—and account for revised methods and country coverage.
Read archive edition ↗A Health Official Remanded Every Nine Days? Auditing Libya's 2025 Prosecution Record
This investigation converts 300 days of Attorney General announcements into a striking frequency measure and a monthly financial equivalent. The editorial opportunity is to publish the underlying case table and test whether people, cases, currencies, and procedural stages were counted consistently.
Read archive edition ↗Schoolbooks Still in Genoa Containers After Sixty Days
Algarj follows up on a schoolbook-printing contract and reports, based on contacts with the Italian printer and Libyan parties, that books remained stored at Genoa after 60 days. This investigation raises questions about contract structure, financing, ownership, shipment responsibility, and the cost of delay.
Read archive edition ↗Twenty Audit Findings About the UN Mission in Libya
This investigation distils administrative, financial, procurement, and staffing findings from UN documents concerning UNSMIL. It asks whether a mission with unresolved internal-control recommendations can credibly convene a national transparency process.
Read archive edition ↗What Might Migrant Labour Cost Libya? Testing a USD 3.3 Billion Estimate
Starting from IOM's count of 867,055 migrants from 44 nationalities, the investigation models a possible annual migrant wage bill of USD 3.3 billion. The number should be presented as a scenario—not measured remittances—and stress-tested against employment rates, informal work, wage distributions, and domestic spending.
Read archive edition ↗Tripoli Central Hospital: High Spending, Weak Local Outcomes
Algarj compares reported hospital spending with operational and service indicators amid a public dispute over management. This investigation’s central accountability claim is that resource levels should be matched with measurable patient outcomes and transparent procurement.
Read archive edition ↗The Alleged Forged Instrument Behind a $14 Billion Public Authority
This investigation alleges that a forged instrument was used to create a public authority whose cumulative cost reached $14 billion, then compares that figure with Libya's public payroll. A publishable edition must authenticate the instrument, rebuild the spending total from official statements, and avoid assigning criminal responsibility without a court finding.
Read archive edition ↗A Public Research Centre’s Output Versus Its Multimillion-Dinar Cost
This investigation contrasts reported spending by Libya’s African Research and Studies Centre since 2022 with a small count of books, seminars, and public posts. It argues that the institution’s visible output is not commensurate with its budget and calls for performance disclosure.
Read archive edition ↗The Presidential Travel Ledger: 57 Trips, 29 Countries
Algarj compiles publicly announced trips by Presidential Council head Mohamed al-Menfi from March 2021 through August 2025 and contrasts time abroad with disclosed outcomes. The accountability question is whether costs, delegation sizes, and deliverables can be published systematically.
Read archive edition ↗One Airline Took 52% of Libya’s Aviation FX Allocation
Using central-bank foreign-currency data, The analysis finds Berniq received $100.6 million over seven months, more than half of the aviation-sector total. This investigation frames the concentration as a competition and allocation-governance question rather than conclusive evidence of wrongdoing.
Read archive edition ↗Libya’s Niger Embassy Spending More Than Doubled in One Year
This investigation says annual spending by Libya’s embassy in Niger rose sharply, driven mainly by payroll. It asks whether staffing, appropriations, and oversight explain the increase and whether the public received commensurate diplomatic value.
Read archive edition ↗Libya’s Military Burden: From 15.5% to 6.4%
Algarj compares the military’s reported weight in Libya’s economy over time and questions the lack of a transparent fiscal debate about security spending. This investigation treats the falling share as an incomplete indicator because fragmented or off-budget armed-group spending may not be captured consistently.
Read archive edition ↗The 2026 Social Numbers Any Libyan Government Must Plan Around
This investigation combines population, civil-registry, and social-affairs data to frame the service and protection burden facing Libya's government in 2026. An edited version should become a transparent baseline table showing source year, definition, coverage, and uncertainty for every indicator.
Read archive edition ↗A 7.20 Dinar Dollar Exposes the Cost of Libya’s Uncoordinated Policy
This investigation connects a 7.20 parallel-market dollar, high public spending and cash shortages, arguing that fiscal and monetary decisions are interacting rather than operating as separate problems. It calls for a coordinated plan covering spending, liquidity and currency management.
Read archive edition ↗Inside Afriqiyah Airways: Dollar Allowances Applied Retroactively
This investigation says an internal document records retroactive monthly dollar allowances at the state-owned carrier. An English edition should treat the document as an unverified primary lead and examine authorization, accounting treatment, and the company's response.
Read archive edition ↗Bread, Flour and Potassium Bromate: Libya's Food-Safety Supply Chain Under Scrutiny
This investigation follows claims about potassium bromate, flour testing, mills, and shipment controls in Libya's bread supply. An English investigation should start from original laboratory certificates and regulatory decisions, then connect testing quality with import inspection, milling, bakery practice, and food-security consequences.
Read archive edition ↗What the Central Bank of Libya’s China Agreement Could Change
This investigation explains that direct links with China’s payment infrastructure could simplify settlement for Libya-China trade. It also frames prospective investment in Chinese bonds as reserve diversification, while the practical benefits depend on implementation, currency and credit risk controls and disclosure.
Read archive edition ↗The Daily Economics of Fuel Leakage in Tripoli
A scenario analysis estimating the potential illicit margin if one-fifth of Tripoli depot fuel were diverted, and arguing for end-to-end digital tracking.
Read archive edition ↗A EUR 18.6 Million Health Contract Left Hanging Since 2013
This investigation traces a long-running mountain-region health contract worth EUR 18.6 million and questions the later use of a local alternative without a clearly disclosed termination or competitive process. The investigation should be rebuilt from the contract file, amendments, payments, technical inspections, and procurement approvals.
Read archive edition ↗Exchange-Rate Management Cannot Be Reduced to Meetings and Statements
Algarj criticizes the recurring cycle in which a parallel-market dollar spike is followed by official meetings and public statements but little visible implementation. This investigation argues for a dated, measurable fiscal and monetary response rather than episodic political signaling.
Read archive edition ↗Fifteen Trips in Eighteen Months: Auditing Libya's Oil Diplomacy
This investigation counts the acting oil minister's foreign travel, meetings, countries, and corporate contacts from July 2024 through January 2026, then questions the public return. A robust edition should verify the itinerary and costs and test outcomes including memoranda, tenders, investment commitments, technical cooperation, and delayed contracts.
Read archive edition ↗Four Years of Cement Credits, Four Shutdowns: What Did the FX Financing Deliver?
This investigation documents more than $170 million in cement-related credits over four years, including more than $160 million attributed to one company through May 2025. He compares that support with repeated plant shutdowns and asks whether official FX financing translated into stable output and domestic supply.
Read archive edition ↗From 1.45 Million Barrels to Central-Bank Dollars
A flow-of-funds analysis distinguishing headline crude production from exportable barrels, fuel-import costs and cash ultimately transferred to the Central Bank of Libya.
Read archive edition ↗Fuel Subsidy Reform Needs the Full Spending Picture
This investigation argues that Libya’s fuel-subsidy debate should be assessed against the wider allocation of public spending rather than framed as a stand-alone cut.
Read archive edition ↗Libya Financed Nearly One Million Tonnes of Barley in Four Months
Algarj aggregates CBL documentary-credit records to estimate 962,271 tonnes of barley imports worth $240.57 million in January-April 2025. This investigation uses the scale to question demand, end use, import valuation and the opportunity for domestic agricultural production.
Read archive edition ↗Libya’s Digital-Payments Push Is Stalling at the Point of Use
The analysis argues that consumer willingness to move away from cash has outpaced the banking system’s ability to deliver reliable, competitive digital payments. He calls for the Central Bank of Libya to clarify the bottlenecks, address service quality and oversee market access and fees.
Read archive edition ↗Libya’s Gas Contraction Is an Economy-Wide Risk
An analysis of a stated 13% year-on-year gas-production decline and its implications for power generation, industry, exports and energy security.
Read archive edition ↗Libya's Malta Institute: Hundreds of Millions in Transfers, Few Public Performance Measures
Using central-bank disclosures, the investigation traces transfers to the Libyan-owned Tajourni Institute in Malta and highlights unusually concentrated monthly spending. The publishable story is an accountability question: what contracts, renovation milestones, training outputs, and audited accounts correspond to the transfers?
Read archive edition ↗Libya's Overseas Scholarship Expansion Meets a 2025 Spending Freeze
This investigation estimates the fiscal weight of adding more than 3,000 overseas students in 2024, then sets it against staff reductions and the government's April 2025 suspension of new scholarships. An edited version should separate official student counts and central-bank transfers from the author's per-student cost assumptions.
Read archive edition ↗Libya’s Summer Oil Leadership Cycle
An analysis of recurring summer leadership changes at Libya’s National Oil Corporation and the accountability questions surrounding a roughly LYD 34 billion sector allocation.
Read archive edition ↗LYD 130 Million for Nuts: What Libya's 2025 Import-Financing Data Show
This investigation highlights more than LYD 130 million in nut-import financing over eight months and an August spike. The stronger analytical question is how discretionary food imports rank against staples and production inputs under foreign-exchange constraints, after validating product codes and financing stages.
Read archive edition ↗Medsky's Flights, Fuel and Foreign Exchange: Testing a Multi-Million-Dollar Gap
This investigation models Medsky's expected operating needs against Central Bank foreign-currency figures and identifies an apparent gap. The model should be rebuilt with aircraft-specific burn rates, routes, wet-lease terms, maintenance, handling, and the actual execution status of credits.
Read archive edition ↗More Than $6 Million in Nut Imports Financed in One Month
Algarj aggregates August documentary-credit records for nuts to more than $6 million and asks which bank handled the largest share. This investigation is best framed as a concentration and disclosure question, not as evidence that importing nuts or receiving a credit is improper.
Read archive edition ↗Nafusah Oil Operations and the Local Social Contract
An examination of the social-responsibility obligations of Nafusah Oil Operations toward communities near its Western Mountain activities.
Read archive edition ↗The Night Libya's Telecom Holding Company Closed—and the Revenue Decline Behind It
While condemning vandalism and institutional shutdowns, the investigation compares the incident with a steep multi-year decline in telecom-related public receipts reported by the Central Bank. The 2026 annualized figure is illustrative and should not be described as a forecast or consolidated company revenue.
Read archive edition ↗Inside the NOC’s Administrative Restructuring
A governance-focused review of management units being changed, merged or abolished at the National Oil Corporation and the implications for accountability and operational continuity.
Read archive edition ↗Inside Petro Air: What Forty Documents Allege About Governance and Spending
The investigation assembles internal-document claims about missions, contracts, debts, and governance at the state-owned oil-sector airline. Any English adaptation must distinguish authenticated records and official findings from the author's allegations, and avoid presenting money laundering or corruption as adjudicated fact.
Read archive edition ↗Reconciling Libya’s Oil Export and Revenue Statements
This investigation identifies an apparent roughly USD 3 billion reconciliation gap between production/export assumptions and reported central-bank receipts and calls for matched institutional data.
Read archive edition ↗Separating the Oil-Contract Math from the Facebook Dispute
A reconstruction of a disputed oil-partnership calculation, including an estimated USD 269 million difference, while distinguishing contract economics from personal argument.
Read archive edition ↗Seventy-Six Cases: Mapping Libya's Public-Prosecution Record in the First Half of 2025
A structured tally of public-prosecution announcements identifies 76 case tracks and more than LYD 3.46 billion in amounts associated with alleged financial wrongdoing. This investigation also flags civil-registry investigations involving over 10,641 identity documents; republication needs a case-level audit and careful status labels.
Read archive edition ↗Transparency Without Exposure: The Privacy Risk in Brega's Beneficiary Lists
This investigation questions why a state-owned fuel distributor published beneficiaries' names alongside national identification numbers for cooking-gas allocations. It offers a useful public-service case study in data minimization: accountability can be preserved without exposing identifiers that enable fraud or profiling.
Read archive edition ↗Who Gets Access to Libya’s Bank-Supplied Foreign Currency?
The analysis argues that access to bank-supplied foreign currency is uneven and vulnerable to influence and preferential treatment. He calls for consistent eligibility rules and disclosure that can show concentration across banks and beneficiaries.
Read archive edition ↗Who Is Withholding the Data on Libya’s Public Money?
The analysis argues that the public-data trail linking oil receipts, state spending and foreign-exchange sales has become less complete or less regular. He calls for restored, comparable disclosure so the public can reconcile the main flows of Libya’s public finances.
Read archive edition ↗Why 2013 Became Libya’s Oil-Production Turning Point
A historical reading of Libya’s return to roughly 1.4 million barrels per day, contrasting it with the disruption cycle that began in 2013.
Read archive edition ↗Thirty Family Networks and 43% of June 2025 Credits
A company-by-company reading of the June 2025 disclosure attributed about $593 million—roughly 43% of the month’s $1.38 billion total—to companies grouped by family ties. The grouping is an analytical classification, not a legal finding of common ownership or misconduct.
Read archive edition ↗The 115 Million-Litre Cooking-Oil Claim Behind Three Months of Credits
This investigation converted $116.5 million in cooking-oil credit records for January–March 2025 into more than 105,000 tonnes and roughly 115 million litres. The conversion is a model that depends on product mix, density, freight, packaging and the execution status of each credit.
Read archive edition ↗3.23 Million Tonnes in Two Port Logs: A Capacity Test, Not a Confirmed Import Total
Daily movement reports from Tripoli and Khoms ports sum to 3,232,683 tonnes of wheat between 1 January and 7 May 2025. The arithmetic is reproducible; the physical total still requires vessel-level deduplication and reconciliation with discharge and customs records.
Read archive edition ↗More Than $80 Million for Dairy Products in Four Months
This four-month snapshot grouped milk, butter, ghee and cheese credits above $80 million. It is a useful import-basket measure, but the categories, weights and financing stages must be aligned before drawing per-capita or domestic-production conclusions.
Read archive edition ↗Eight Months of Dairy Financing: $134 Million and a Per-Capita Question
A later update put January–August 2025 dairy-related financing at about $134 million for roughly 55,000 tonnes and compared it with domestic output. It should be read as a later reporting window, not added to the earlier four-month total.
Read archive edition ↗$49.38 Million in Tyre Credits—and the Million-Tyre Estimate
This investigation identified $49.38 million in tyre-related credits through April 2025 and estimated the financing could represent about one million tyres. The quantity is a scenario, not a disclosed customs count.
Read archive edition ↗Four Years of Sugar Credits: Quantity, Value and the Missing Reconciliation
This investigation compared annual sugar quantities and credit values from 2021 onward, highlighting a cumulative total above one million tonnes and sharp changes in unit value. Its claim that part of the volume was ‘missing’ requires customs, inventory, re-export and consumption data.
Read archive edition ↗$35.5 Million for Tea in Eight Months
This later tea-only update extended the reporting window to August 2025 and put financing at $35.5 million. It complements, but overlaps, the earlier four-month coffee-and-tea basket and must not be added to it.
Read archive edition ↗How a $1 Million Credit Could Produce More Than $350,000: Testing Every Assumption
This investigation tests a scenario in which invoice inflation, an official/parallel exchange-rate gap and an 80% bank facility could produce more than $350,000 from a $1 million credit. It is a risk model—not evidence that a named person or transaction followed the route described.
Read archive edition ↗Libya’s Banks Became More Liquid. Productive Credit Barely Moved.
Three Central Bank bulletins covering October 2024 through June 2025 show M1, cash outside banks, excess reserves and lending all rising—while agriculture and industry remained marginal in the credit mix. The system moved; the productive structure barely did.
Read archive edition ↗The Customs Valuation Gap Behind Libya’s Import Economy
This investigation highlighted a gap between the exchange-rate basis used to obtain foreign currency and the basis used to value imports for customs. That gap can reduce public revenue and distort competition, but its size depends on the applicable tariff, exemptions, valuation date and declared customs value.
Read archive edition ↗A LYD 43.1 Billion Services Deficit in Six Months: What Was Libya Paying For?
The Central Bank’s second-quarter bulletin recorded LYD 45.38 billion in service payments and LYD 2.28 billion in receipts in the first half of 2025. The resulting LYD 43.10 billion deficit nearly matched full-year deficits in 2023 and 2024, but the public table does not identify the services driving it.
Read archive edition ↗ARCHIVE STANDARD
No invented dates.
No upgraded allegations.
An archive edition preserves the original argument but does not convert commentary, estimates or allegations into findings of fact. Exact dates are shown only when recoverable from the public record; otherwise the label identifies the uncertainty.